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Wheat futures on the rise | Trustnet Skip to the content

Wheat futures on the rise

16 July 2010

BlackRock's Sam Vecht identifies an opportunity to benefit from the soaring price of wheat.

By Charlotte Banks,

Analyst, Financial Express

Wheat prices are set to rise following the hottest summer Russia has seen for 40 years according to BlackRock's Sam Vecht.

Vecht, who manages the BlackRock Eastern European Trust and co-manages the BlackRock Emerging Markets fund, said the prices of wheat were up 20 per cent in the last month, whilst the price of corn has hit a six month high.

"Whilst this is a short-term move, it could be a developing story. These are the sharpest moves we have seen for a long time. Russia has had one of its hottest summers for over 40 years and drought has become an issue. The impact of this is that wheat prices are going up," he said.
 
Vecht said it was definitely an area he would be looking at for his portfolio.

"This is an ongoing situation but it is definitely something we are looking into in the short term," he confirmed.

Vecht also said weather conditions were something the fund paid particular attention to.

"We always look at the weather, it is a surprisingly important feature and has an ongoing theme so we always look at this."

There are few funds currently invested in wheat, according to Financial Express data. Most retail investors would gain exposure through exchange traded products rather than unit trusts or OEICs. The recent short term price changes referred to by Vecht are clear in the chart below, where leveraged wheat products have risen sharply, and short products conversely have fallen.

Performance of wheat over 3-mths

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Source: Financial Express Analytics


Over the past six month and one year periods, the story is slightly different, as the following charts indicate. Data suggests that there is only one fund, the offshore Odey Oei Mac, which has any serious exposure to the commodity. The hedge fund's two per cent weighting represents one of its biggest long exposures.

Performance of wheat over 6-mths

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Source: Financial Express Analytics

Performance of wheat over 1-yr

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Source: Financial Express Analytics

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Data provided by FE fundinfo. Care has been taken to ensure that the information is correct, but FE fundinfo neither warrants, represents nor guarantees the contents of information, nor does it accept any responsibility for errors, inaccuracies, omissions or any inconsistencies herein. Past performance does not predict future performance, it should not be the main or sole reason for making an investment decision. The value of investments and any income from them can fall as well as rise.