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"Don't look for the needle in the haystack. Just buy the haystack!" – John Bogle | Trustnet Skip to the content

"Don't look for the needle in the haystack. Just buy the haystack!" – John Bogle

29 April 2025

John Bogle, the founder of Vanguard and a pioneer in index investing, transformed the world of personal finance by making it easier and cheaper for ordinary investors to participate in the stock market. Known as the champion of low-cost index funds, Bogle’s philosophy revolved around simplicity, broad diversification and patience.

His famous advice to “buy the haystack” underscores the futility of trying to pick individual stocks (the needle) and advocates for owning the entire market instead. This approach has proven to be a reliable path to long-term investment success.

 

EXPLAINING THE ‘HAYSTACK’ APPROACH

When Bogle advises investors to ‘buy the haystack’, he is encouraging them to own the entire market rather than searching for a few standout stocks. This concept is at the heart of index investing, where funds are designed to track the performance of an entire market index, such as the FTSE 100 or S&P 500.

Stock picking – trying to identify individual winners – can be risky and time-consuming. Many investors underperform the market due to emotional decisions, lack of information or high trading costs. By contrast, buying an index fund eliminates the need to pick winners, ensuring you benefit from the overall growth of the market without the risk of missing out on key performers.

The haystack approach is particularly appealing because it inherently includes the market’s top performers. Over time, the success of these companies contributes significantly to the overall index return, negating the need to identify them individually.

 

WHY INDEX FUNDS BEAT STOCK PICKING

Performance data: Historical data consistently shows that the majority of actively managed funds underperform their benchmark index over the long term. For example, research indicates that over 80% of active funds fail to beat the market over a 10-year period. This underperformance is often attributed to high fees, frequent trading and the difficulty of consistently making correct stock-picking decisions.

Diversification: Index funds offer built-in diversification, spreading investments across a wide range of companies, sectors and sometimes even countries. This reduces the risk associated with individual stocks or industries while capturing the broader market’s growth. By owning the entire market, investors avoid the risk of putting too much weight on any single company.

Low costs: One of the key advantages of index funds is their low expense ratios. Active funds often charge high management fees to cover research, trading and administrative costs. Over time, these fees can significantly erode returns. Index funds, by contrast, passively track the market and require minimal management, resulting in much lower costs and higher net returns for investors.

 

PRACTICAL APPLICATION: HOW TO ‘BUY THE HAYSTACK’

  1. Choose the right index fund: Select funds that track well-known indices such as the FTSE 100, FTSE All Share, S&P 500 or MSCI World. Consider your investment goals and risk tolerance when deciding which index to follow.
  2. Focus on low fees: Compare the expense ratios of different index funds and prioritise those with the lowest costs. Vanguard, for instance, is renowned for offering some of the most cost-effective funds on the market.
  3. Build a diversified portfolio: While a single index fund provides broad exposure, you can achieve greater diversification by investing in a mix of equity and bond index funds. Global funds can further diversify your portfolio by including international markets.
  4. Stick to a plan: Commit to regular investments, such as monthly contributions, to take advantage of pound-cost averaging. This strategy reduces the impact of market volatility by spreading your purchases over time.
  5. Avoid overcomplicating: The beauty of the haystack approach lies in its simplicity. Resist the urge to tweak your portfolio frequently or chase trends. Let the market work for you over the long term.

 

John Bogle’s advice to ‘buy the haystack’ reflects the wisdom of passive investing and broad diversification. By investing in low-cost index funds, investors can achieve market returns without the risks and complexities of stock picking. The combination of simplicity, diversification and cost efficiency makes the haystack approach a winning strategy for long-term wealth building. By following Bogle’s timeless advice, investors can focus on the bigger picture and avoid the pitfalls of trying to outsmart the market.

 

To learn more rules from investing legends, click here.

 

This Trustnet Learn article was written with assistance from artificial intelligence (AI). For more information, please visit our AI Statement.

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